The web is wonderful. It has done the most remarkable things for music. I haven’t read one of his novels, but I couldn’t say it better than Nick Hornby when it comes to what the web has done for music and for music fans.
But, as Hornby alludes to in his piece, has the web been good for the music business? In the new vanguard – the wild west of web commerce – look at how many music related ventures have come and gone, with barely a trace left to learn from. At the start of this year, MusicAlly listed no less than 200 music start-ups from 2008 (not an exhaustive list) and I can’t bring myself to skim that list now to see which of those are still in the game. Nor do I want to get into any kind of music-web investment thesis here. If you want to read a good one though, see Bruce Warila’s wonderfully concise thoughts on the subject recently on Hypebot, MTT or his site, Ricewall.
Back in my IFPI days an early PR line on digital music’s success was the number of digital services in play, which reached close to 1000 worldwide before the IFPI decided it maybe wasn’t a good idea to keep up with the stat. At one point, for every new service launched, at least one other entered the great elephant’s graveyard of dead digital music stores. You could almost hear a Jay Z rap in your head along the lines, ‘1000 digital music stores but ain’t a profitable one’. Yet still they come. Every week I get e-mails from newly launched services and read about maybe two or three, weekly.
I don’t blame them for giving it a go, but wish them more luck than anything – oh and to have a quick read or two of Bruce’s thesis.
But my point here is this: why is the universal assumption now that all new ventures involving recorded music have to be digital? I know it’s a dumb question. But then it’s not that dumb. Any investor or entrepreneur will know that a contrary strategy is always worth a look.
Prevailing market trends point to online, mobile and gaming platforms for sure – particularly with apps invigorating the mobile sector – a true breakthrough there. However, the assumption that music – or any content for that matter – will migrate from physical to digital in a steady linear fashion (at whatever speed), is just plain wrong.
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